In my Psychology Today post of 12/24/12, Why
Psychotherapy Outcome Studies are Nearly Impossible, I discussed the large
number of variables that are not taken into consideration in those studies
which bring any conclusions drawn from them into question. These include
variations in therapist techniques that aren’t measured, sampling problems with
people that can have wide variations in their proclivities and sensitivities,
problems with finding an active control treatment, the lack of double
blinding, and lack of complete candor by subjects.
The same types of issues apply to
epidemiological research into environmental risk factors for various
psychiatric disorders. Most studies try to measure the effect of a single environmental
exposure on a single outcome—something that rarely exists in the real world.
In a “viewpoint” article from JAMA Psychiatry published online on
June 6, 2018, by Guloksuz, van Os, and Rutten ("The Exposome Paradigm and the Complexities of Environmental Research in Psychiatry"),the authors discuss
characteristics of the environment as they do
function in the real world. They speak of multiple “networks of many interacting
elements…”
Individuals are exposed to these elements
as they accumulate over time, so that one single exposure usually means very
little. Exposure also is “dynamic, interactive, and intertwined" with various
other domains including those internal to individuals, what individuals do
within various contexts, and the external environment itself—which is
constantly changing. Last but not least, each individual attributes a
different, and sometimes changing, psychological meaning to everything that
happens to them. This meaning attribution can alter the effect of each environmental exposure dramatically.
Each environmental factor confers risk for
a "diverse set of mental disorders." These factors are far from universal so that some people remain completely unexposed to
them. They interact with each other so they are not independent. They are time
sensitive. They are dose dependent
even within similar environments, meaning individuals are not exposed to
them at the same level. They can be subject to being confounded by each
individual’s differing genetic propensities.
With all that to consider, drawing final
conclusions from a few studies just does not cut it as real science. But the
field tends to believe in those conclusions as if they were gospel.
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